Probabilistic Design of Structures/ Structural Reliability/ Risk and Reliability of Civil Infrastructure Systems

CE41002/CE51002/CE60108/CE60112

Spring 2012

Instructor: B. Bhattacharya

Office: CE 304

Email: baidurya@iitkgp.ac.in

Required text

·         Structural Reliability Analysis and Prediction, Robert E. Melchers, Wiley, 1999 (ISBN 0471983241)

Recommended reading:

 

·         Probability Concepts in Engineering Planning and Design, Vol. I, A. H-S Ang and W. H. Tang, Wiley, 1975

·         Introduction to Reliability Engineering, 2nd Ed., Lewis, Wiley, 1996 (ISBN 0471018333)

·         Probabilistic Risk Assessment of Engineering Systems, Stewart and Melchers, Chapman and Hall 1997 (ISBN 0412805707)

 

Syllabus

Week

Days

Topics

1

Jan 2 – 6

Introduction and overview. Review of basic probability

2

Jan 9 – 13

Random variables, probability laws, common probability distributions – origins and interrelations

3

Jan 16 – 20

Functions of random variables. Joint probability distribution, conditional distributions. Joint Normal distribution

4

Jan 23 – 27

Random number generation – Monte Carlo simulations

5

Jan 30 – Feb 3

Concept of stochastic processes

6

Feb 6 – 10

Application of stochastic simulations in engineering problems

7

Feb 13 – 17

Application (contd.)

8

Feb 20 – 24

MIDTERM Week (Feb 17 – 24)

9

Feb 27 – Mar 2

Formulation of structural reliability problems: limit states

10

Mar 5 – 9

First order reliability methods, importance sampling and other variance reduction techniques

11

Mar 12 – 16

Reliability – historical development, applications, different measures of reliability; Component reliability - time to failure

12

Mar 19 – 23

Reliability-based maintenance

13

Mar 26 – 30

System reliability - representation of failure, series and parallel systems, redundancy, fault trees

14

April 2 – 6

Probability-based acceptance criteria: consequence of failure,

concepts of risk, utility

15

April 9 – 13

Probability-based design. Calibration of target reliability: reliability-based design codes  

16

April 16 – 20

Review

17

April 23 – 27

FINAL Week (April 20 – 27)

SF: 20/1 – 23/1; Republic Day 26/1; Kshitij: 27/1 – 30/1; Milad un Nabi 5/2; Holi 8/3; Mahavir Jayanti 5/4; Good Friday 6/4;